According to the latest cotton yield survey conducted by the national cotton market monitoring system in 2021, the average cotton yield per unit area in China in 2021 was 134.3 kg/mu, up 3.1 percent year-on-year. Based on the actual planting area of 43.191 million mu investigated by the monitoring system, The total output of new cotton in China expected to be 5.801 million tons, down 2.5 percent year-on-year. The output is expected to reach 5.262 million tons in Xinjiang, up 0.2 percent year-on-year.
The meteorological conditions in Xinjiang cotton region were generally suitable, and cotton grew well in the later period, making up for the influence brought by the early extreme weather, and the cotton output was stable while rising. It is estimated that the average cotton yield per unit area in Xinjiang will be 148.0 kg/mu in 2021, with an estimated output of 5.262 million tons.
Heavy rains and floods occur frequently in the Yellow River basin, cotton bolls fall off or rot, cotton bolls are affected to a certain extent, cotton quality and yield are decreased. It is estimated that the average yield per unit area is 72.6 kg/mu and the total output is 331,000 tons.
The weather in the Yangtze River basin is suitable, with sufficient sunshine and rain. Considering the low base effect caused by the disaster weather last year, the cotton yield per unit area increases. Due to the decrease of cotton planting area, the total cotton output is still declining. It is estimated that the average yield of cotton per unit area is 63.6 kg/mu, and the total output is estimated to be 166,000 tons, down 11.4 percent year-on-year.